Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $31.12
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $458.89
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Polymarket Trader
Capital-welness
0x9eda2976395da0a4dadd0a0a0c407d4d6f8206b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.03
- Realized PnL
- -$156.61
- Win rate
- 40.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.21
- Potential profit
- $110.21
- User PnL
- -$12.43
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $86.92
- Potential payout
- $86.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Malkoun position
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Brundage position
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Finney position
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.89
Yes position
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Armada" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.42
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.3
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?No 66.8% 86.92 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 14% 10.21 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 1,866.25 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 5% 110 shares
- Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 0.2% 2,016.18 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 1,866.25 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 640 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 520 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 490 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 77% 20 shares
- Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 2.8% 22.79 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 7% 110 shares