Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $26.71K
- Potential payout
- $37.36K
- Potential profit
- $10.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Polymarket Trader
Istaroth
@Iridium1911
0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.71K
- Realized PnL
- $539.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $312.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $276.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.65K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.86K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.26K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.91K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.5K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 89% 165.12 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 90% 75 shares
- Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 9% 242.41 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 10% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 425.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 41% 1,043.59 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.7% 311.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 23% 2,661.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.5% 816.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 36,003.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 11.6% 25,248.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 83.23 shares