Polymarket Trader

kalcho100

0x9f0682f0fc7959ba317dfcb7aa12ff56cd596203

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $2.39K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$199.17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $144.34
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $861.51
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $37.72

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.7
Potential profit: $651.7
User PnL: -$195.51

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.47
Potential profit: $651.47
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $645.16
Potential profit: $645.16
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.76
Potential profit: $609.76
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $504
Potential profit: $504
User PnL: -$272.16

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.76
Potential profit: $447.76
User PnL: -$30

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.56
Potential profit: $442.56
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.41
Potential profit: $102.41
User PnL: -$10

Under 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.59
Potential profit: $98.59
User PnL: -$68.39

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.29

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.29

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.77

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.91

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.48

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.3

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the United States Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.71

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.95

Yes position

Will the AP call the election on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.91

Yes position

Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?

Ends Dec 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.9

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will Ajax beat Qarabag?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.82

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.45

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.17

No position

Kanye banned on X by Monday?

Ends Feb 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 100-124 times October 18-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 30% 651.7 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 504 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 49.2% 609.76 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.4% 651.47 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 392.16 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 62% 322.58 shares
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Yes 37% 135.14 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 42% 361.9 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 735.29 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 68% 735.29 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 508.47 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 59% 847.46 shares