Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$12.25
Polymarket Trader
TopGod
0x9f0726e59b9ea5c36b35ed0ba3c49f2fd754fbde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.5K
- Realized PnL
- $916.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $178.13
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $106.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $780.16
Yes position
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $869.33
- Potential profit
- $861.5
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$44.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $352.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $147.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.87
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.34
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.35
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.93
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.55
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
Yes position
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 220 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 91.3% 135.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 2,500 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 91.7% 1,110.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 61% 280 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.2% 172.5 shares
- Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 6% 809.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97% 57.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94% 65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.8% 295 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 14% 1,428.57 shares