Polymarket Trader

zxhy1981

0x9f0a3e9c5809966e5c4dbbf5a26f443e000e1c57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $6.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $628.32
Potential payout: $686.69
Potential profit: $58.37
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $114.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $385.25
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $58.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $51.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $448.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$15.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $105.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $394.25
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $26.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $473.25
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $52.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $447.25
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$24.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $470
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $25.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $474.75
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.75
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $481.75
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$10.75

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.77
Potential profit: $140.77
User PnL: -$99.95

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.53
Potential profit: $135.53
User PnL: -$49.95

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 87% 686.69 shares
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 500 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 500 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 500 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 500 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 500 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 500 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 500 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 500 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 500 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 71% 140.77 shares