Polymarket Trader

0x9f0e...1696

0x9f0eb3c6bdb333710ea53bd9f9e52ee033f11696

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $409.64
Realized PnL: $940.32
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $305.27
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $996.51
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $85.27

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$849.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.2
Potential profit: $304.2
User PnL: -$167

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $104.37
Potential payout: $172.52
Potential profit: $68.15
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.64

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225.38

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.53

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $71.78

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.79

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.16

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.07

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$112.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

No 60.9% 172.52 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 90.5% 151.16 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 43% 151.16 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 25.6% 264.62 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 68% 264.63 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 1,315.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 1,301.78 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 1,315.79 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 98% 494.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 54.9% 304.2 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 52.4% 494.1 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

No 57% 742.64 shares