Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.21
- Potential profit
- $321.21
- User PnL
- -$86
Polymarket Trader
0x9F1253565F85Ebd391dA53f477416ea768004e57-1767527718557
0x9f1253565f85ebd391da53f477416ea768004e57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65
- Realized PnL
- $948.54
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$72
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$162
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Mainstream" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$37.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$46.4
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.35
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.44
- Potential profit
- $38.44
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.92
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.91
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.88
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 36% 27.78 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp 91% 10.97 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes 33% 121.21 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 17% 300 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 20% 300 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?Yes 37% 108.11 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?Yes 78% 51.28 shares
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes 24.8% 220 shares
- Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes 64% 30 shares
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?Yes 4.8% 102.81 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 26% 38.44 shares