St. Louis Cardinals position
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $343.88
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $884.28
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$159.66
Polymarket Trader
98132wxc
@Caiyuangunmmte
0x9f2a10f2967c9d63ed36f0880eea5fd7189d3706
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.51K
- Realized PnL
- $4.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $31.36
- Potential payout
- $627.26
- Potential profit
- $595.9
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.09
Y
Yes position
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $27.41
- Potential payout
- $548.14
- Potential profit
- $520.73
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$106.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $265.11
- Potential payout
- $348.83
- Potential profit
- $83.72
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$16.46
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $24.12
- Potential payout
- $200.19
- Potential profit
- $176.07
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$71.45
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $121.75
- Potential payout
- $193.26
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$22.12
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $132.75
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $25.89
- Potential payout
- $115.08
- Potential profit
- $89.19
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$36.25
No position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $81.16
- Potential payout
- $102.74
- Potential profit
- $21.58
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $14.9
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $74
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.6B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $91.33
- Potential profit
- $85.39
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$13.24
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $65.19
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $14.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $29.14
- Potential payout
- $78.76
- Potential profit
- $49.62
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$17.91
No position
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $63.87
- Potential profit
- $62.91
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $54.92
- Potential payout
- $60.85
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $40.44
- Potential payout
- $52.86
- Potential profit
- $12.42
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $7.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $26.26
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $32.98
- Potential payout
- $49.6
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $30.38
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $14.63
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
MOUZ position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $841.78
Spurs position
Nuggets vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $725.44
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685
Jakub Mensik position
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.15
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.49
Arthur Fils position
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.9
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.62
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.34
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.82
Chris Rodesch position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodesch
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.15
No position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.98
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.56
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $37.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $28.25
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $27.52
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $15.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 78.8% 74.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?No 60% 6.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?No 78.4% 136.22 shares
- World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoMessi 87% 340.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 5% 8.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 6.2% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?No 59.9% 179.65 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 75% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 19?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 74% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?Yes 28% 11.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?No 74% 5 shares