0x9f35...74e2

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $38.58
Potential payout: $39.12
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $23.27
Potential payout: $23.79
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $23.18
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $23.37
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $17.94
Potential payout: $18.31
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $17.22
Potential payout: $17.43
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $17.26
Potential payout: $17.34
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.34
Potential profit: $16.34
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $14.32
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $13.1
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $11.23
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07
Potential profit: $11.07
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $10.72
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.61
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?