Batty348984

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$20.12

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $905.02
Potential profit: $877.41
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $482.75
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $465.4
Potential profit: $463.77
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.49
Potential profit: $225.49
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.69
Potential profit: $112.69
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $80.78
Potential profit: $79.94
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.4
Potential profit: $80.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.75
Potential profit: $70.75
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $48.98
Potential profit: $48.27
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $43.91
Potential profit: $39.74
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.11
Potential profit: $36.11
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.14
Potential profit: $31.14
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.63
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.84
Potential profit: $24.84
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $24.24
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $20.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET