Polymarket Trader

0x9f3e...7af4

0x9f3eb1388f3a7c7388d0278587d223c42b437af4

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $35.87
Realized PnL: $673.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $22.28
Potential payout: $50.65
Potential profit: $28.36
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $11.86
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $428.19

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.15

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.3

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.49

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.9%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Over position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.7%
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 97.9% 5.97 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?

No 38.1% 50.65 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 98.3% 25.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 96% 3.42 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 34% 12.94 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners

Over 72% 8.79 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 90% 21.83 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 25.2% 7.92 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 17.86 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 17.86 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 99.8% 15.66 shares