Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $770.86
- Potential payout
- $30.35K
- Potential profit
- $29.58K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$108.71
Polymarket Trader
Yolotrading
0x9f42f0b7a1635d81779c4ebc3f4057a4063de44e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.71K
- Realized PnL
- $2.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $7.04K
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $914.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $582.27
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $388.26
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $26.73
No position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $34.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $107.36
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $191.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.49
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $142.54
- Potential payout
- $191.33
- Potential profit
- $48.79
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$29.93
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.27
No position
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $97.76
- Potential payout
- $98.4
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $32.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $587.41
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.15
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.17
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $199.98
No position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.94
Yes position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $157.16
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.43
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
French confidence vote fails?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.29
No position
Next French confidence vote passes?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
No position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $47.1
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.91
No position
Netanyahu out by 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.72
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.71
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.39
Yes position
France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 65% 50 shares
- Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 95% 93.4 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 100 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No 83.7% 200 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.7% 8,000 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 6.6% 100 shares
- Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 94.8% 350 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 46% 100 shares
- Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 94% 100 shares
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.3% 1,600 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 56% 100 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 86% 100 shares