Polymarket Trader

qcp1

0x9f444616d2450a5151922ac7c889911950b97470

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.95
Realized PnL: $340.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $11.98K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Martine Vassal win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $36.83
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.49
Potential profit: $862.49
User PnL: -$6.78

Yes position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $12.92
Potential payout: $662.56
Potential profit: $649.64
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.3
Potential profit: $661.3
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440.49
Potential profit: $440.49
User PnL: -$11.31

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $401.33
Potential profit: $398.32
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $121.2
Potential payout: $275.45
Potential profit: $154.25
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $40.52

Yes position

Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $254.12
Potential profit: $246.75
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $249.75
Potential profit: $242.13
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$16.35

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.19
Potential profit: $233.19
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $225.58
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $222.34
Potential profit: $197.55
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $209.09
Potential profit: $201.88
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.17
Potential profit: $200.17
User PnL: -$7.07

Yes position

Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.48
Potential profit: $191.48
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.52
Potential profit: $190.52
User PnL: -$42.15

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.8
Potential profit: $161.8
User PnL: -$11.98

Yes position

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $161.2
Potential profit: $161.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $155.09
Potential profit: $150.98
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.11
Potential payout: $124.77
Potential profit: $116.66
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $1.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.84

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.34

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.16

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.76

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.72

No position

Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.04

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.11

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.57

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

No position

Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

No position

Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: $6.01

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

No 16% 6.34 shares
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Yes 39% 8.46 shares
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Yes 39% 0.37 shares
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Yes 8.6% 48.97 shares
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Yes 39% 5.76 shares
Exact Score: Olympic Dcheira 0 - 3 OC Safi?

Yes 80% 7.5 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 63% 9.68 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 63% 9.68 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 63% 9.23 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 66% 6.46 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 66% 9.1 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 67% 3.01 shares