jijodebot

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $442.6
Potential payout: $21.59K
Potential profit: $21.15K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $42.64

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $308.98

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$739.95

Yes position

Will Peru win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $268.15
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $28.16

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$396.56

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $168.9
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$31.1

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $439.09
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $594.07
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$60.91

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $573.69
Potential payout: $964.19
Potential profit: $390.5
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$26.31

Yes position

Will Peru take second place in Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $821
Potential profit: $821
User PnL: -$16.42

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $811.8
Potential profit: $811.8
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $701.35
Potential payout: $810.81
Potential profit: $109.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $401.35

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by between 33% and 35.9% in December?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.35
Potential profit: $767.35
User PnL: -$66.91

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.13
Potential profit: $755.13
User PnL: -$301.05

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.25
Potential profit: $683.25
User PnL: -$106.9

ALT F4 position

Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.36
Potential profit: $667.36
User PnL: -$187.37

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $407.31
Potential payout: $662.3
Potential profit: $254.98
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $392.53
Potential payout: $599.28
Potential profit: $206.75
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$7.47

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $468.88
Potential payout: $551.3
Potential profit: $82.42
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$31.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.22

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.06

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.95

Yes position

Will CD Riestra win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.32

Yes position

Will monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.34

Yes position

Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1474.99 on December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.11

9z Team position

Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.14

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.29

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-02?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.9

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.43

Yes position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.62

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.03

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.29

9z Team position

Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.81

No position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.02

No position

Maduro out in 2025?