No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.8%
- Current value
- $565.2
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $334.8
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$212.39
Polymarket Trader
sarasea
0x9f4f56a47181367550d09a3789d3536c7e849962
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $378
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $322
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$196
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $72.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $87.2
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$47.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.63
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.13
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.85
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.65
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.38
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
No position
India-Pakistan declare war before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
MetaMask airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
Base airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3400 and $3500 on July 20 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
MetaMask airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Azuro airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Blast airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 75% 160 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 86.4% 900 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 82% 700 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 93% 1,580 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 63% 1,580 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 92.2% 4,027.2 shares
- Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No 73.7% 3,713.08 shares
- Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 87% 2,298.85 shares
- Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes 21.7% 3,969.14 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 83% 160.54 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 87% 371.6 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 84% 3,293.18 shares