Polymarket Trader

0x9f5BD18FeC1Ab046D5F25C3b64f26c543Bb6db52-1772604271017

0x9f5bd18fec1ab046d5f25c3b64f26c543bb6db52

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $88.48
Realized PnL: $34.22
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.65
Potential profit: $399.65
User PnL: -$273.65

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.71
Potential profit: $105.71
User PnL: -$104.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $88.48
Potential payout: $100.2
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$11.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.61

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Cerezo Ōsaka position

Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 99.8% 100.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 99.6% 100.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.7% 103.31 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

No 99.1% 102.93 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.8% 100.5 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 99.5% 100.5 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99% 101.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 100.6 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?

Yes 0.1% 8,000 shares
Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)

Cerezo Ōsaka 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 16?

No 99.8% 100.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

No 99.4% 108.65 shares