Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Duncs723
0x9f60289e72e091a789ab072b8c8066ddec323a16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.74
- Realized PnL
- $427.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $51.47
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $57.8
- Potential profit
- $47.08
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.09
- Potential payout
- $55.81
- Potential profit
- $47.71
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $54.77
- Potential profit
- $51.49
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $43.67
- Potential profit
- $43.56
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $40.16
- Potential profit
- $30.7
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $38.98
- Potential profit
- $30.81
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $35.59
- Potential profit
- $35.07
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.58
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $32.74
- Potential profit
- $25.54
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $31.77
- Potential profit
- $26.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $27.59
- Potential profit
- $23.18
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $25.08
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$8.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.58
PortlandFire position
PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.51
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.2
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.77
No position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Golden Knights position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Chicago White Sox position
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $10.49
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $10.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 61.3% 16.32 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 31% 32.26 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 38% 55.55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 38.5% 25.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?Yes 55.9% 26.75 shares
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?Yes 37.4% 26.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 23.26 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 6% 166.67 shares