Polymarket Trader

TP1994

0x9f6085a7137a6ad59b961063f1898e3070b4b0a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.39
Realized PnL: $585.46
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $998.37
Potential profit: $998.37
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.57
Potential profit: $869.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.69
Potential profit: $807.69
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.69
Potential profit: $530.69
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

No position

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.14
Potential profit: $404.14
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.65
Potential profit: $395.65
User PnL: -$24.62

Yes position

Will a player representing USA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.48
Potential profit: $361.48
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.33
Potential profit: $335.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.55
Potential profit: $323.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $27.17
Potential payout: $292.15
Potential profit: $264.98
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.45
Potential profit: $275.45
User PnL: -$28.86

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.32
Potential profit: $186.32
User PnL: -$9.32

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.55
Potential profit: $179.55
User PnL: -$19.75

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-3.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.68
Potential profit: $173.68
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

No position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.5
Potential profit: $166.5
User PnL: -$9.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.29

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.33

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.34

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.56

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.36

No position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.12

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.84

Yes position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

No position

World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.17

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 75% 66.66 shares
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals AND Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime?

22.7% 64.58 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime?

37.9% 51.79 shares
Germany leading at halftime?

Yes 57% 43.86 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 45% 66.67 shares
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Morocco 30% 166.67 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 35% 57.14 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 869.57 shares