No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- Multiplier
- 5.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Polymarket Trader
MrMelonHead
0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.2K
- Realized PnL
- $32.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- User PnL
- -$961.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.9%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $576.12
No position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $202.63
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $169.09
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $466.29
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $166.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $273.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $552.66
- Potential payout
- $914.24
- Potential profit
- $361.58
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$97.34
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $763.08
- Potential payout
- $892.5
- Potential profit
- $129.41
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$36.92
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $817.03
- Potential payout
- $817.44
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $243.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $817.37
- Potential profit
- $815.74
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.36
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $446.46
- Potential payout
- $737.96
- Potential profit
- $291.49
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$53.54
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $488.98
- Potential payout
- $660.78
- Potential profit
- $171.8
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$12.29
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $536.95
- Potential payout
- $610.52
- Potential profit
- $73.57
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $96.95
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $22.88
- Potential payout
- $586.65
- Potential profit
- $563.77
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$349.12
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $68.91
- Potential payout
- $551.32
- Potential profit
- $482.4
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$336.08
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $277.41
- Potential payout
- $470.19
- Potential profit
- $192.78
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$122.59
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $429.56
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $29.56
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $25.6
- Potential payout
- $419.62
- Potential profit
- $394.02
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $359.49
- Potential payout
- $401.66
- Potential profit
- $42.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $59.49
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $200.52
- Potential payout
- $389.36
- Potential profit
- $188.84
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $50.52
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $304.48
- Potential payout
- $371.31
- Potential profit
- $66.84
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $4.48
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $126.86
- Potential payout
- $321.17
- Potential profit
- $194.31
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Rafael Jodar position
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.01
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.58
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.54
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?No 92% 108.73 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 84.3% 118.58 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 80.9% 123.69 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 7.2% 473.9 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 66% 75.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 71.8% 695.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 70.2% 142.52 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 70.7% 141.46 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 70% 142.86 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 69.1% 159.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 58% 51.76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 13% 271 shares