Polymarket Trader

MRVs

0x9f7a47ef5e3ee19a2c146b3ef439b86f48b90e63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $396.05
Realized PnL: $3.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $277.03
Potential payout: $608.85
Potential profit: $331.82
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$96.72

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $392.86
Potential profit: $382.45
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$44.59

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $108.61
Potential payout: $226.27
Potential profit: $117.66
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.35
Potential profit: $214.35
User PnL: -$44.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $390.07

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $373.57

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.8

No position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $271.56

Yes position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.29

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.45

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.02

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.43

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.58

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.93

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.42

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.72

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 77.9% 1,200.47 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 50% 600.47 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 20.8% 214.35 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 21% 560.72 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 24% 208.33 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 38% 135 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11.1% 468.75 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 9.6% 468.75 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 75% 571.42 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 14% 214.29 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 7% 71.43 shares