Polymarket Trader

koshbaby

0x9f80cc3c1cb7f48798eed98046819e1407fcea2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.36K
Realized PnL: $408.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $7.96
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $219.89
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $179.73
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $90.33
Potential payout: $106.09
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$9.67

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $48.06
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $44.75
Potential profit: $38.26
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$13.51

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.27
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $30.58
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $14.63
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $21.48
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $19.32
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.2
Potential profit: $16.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.29

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Yes position

Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.93

No position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.125 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.58

No position

Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Yes position

Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

No position

Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

Yes position

Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt say Israel during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 91% 21.98 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 94.7% 2.11 shares
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9% 222.22 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 99.8% 100.2 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31% 24.19 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 6% 16.2 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 630.8 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 68% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.9% 50 shares