No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $15.65K
- Potential payout
- $16.29K
- Potential profit
- $643.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $737.52
Polymarket Trader
Naropoly
0x9f83f83bdfc209c6fade8a2c77ea9667e9176cd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.33K
- Realized PnL
- $35.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $6.8K
- Potential payout
- $6.85K
- Potential profit
- $51.37
- User PnL
- $102.42
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.5K
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $95.71
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $267.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $15.42
- User PnL
- $127.93
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.01
No position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $90.18
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$127.45
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.82
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $460.43
- Potential payout
- $504.02
- Potential profit
- $43.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $67.32
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $496.47
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$109.38
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Current value
- $353.55
- Potential payout
- $390.02
- Potential profit
- $36.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $302.31
- Potential payout
- $321.61
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $85.53
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$226.6
Yes position
Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $285.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.99
- Potential profit
- $224.99
- User PnL
- -$98.75
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.43
- Potential profit
- $171.43
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.5
- Potential profit
- $102.5
- User PnL
- -$30.55
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $91.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $75.51
- Potential profit
- $74.57
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.73
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.92
- Potential profit
- $26.92
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Netherlands beat Hungary?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.24
No position
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?
Ends Jul 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $911.34
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.98
Yes position
Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.3
No position
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.04
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.67
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.25
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.01
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.61
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 85% 20 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 83% 75.51 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes 89.1% 336.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.6% 540.89 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?No 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 60% 16.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 10,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 472.4 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 42% 47.62 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?No 86% 46.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 92% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 91% 58 shares