Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $544.72
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Polymarket Trader
A1onSh
0x9f8dd21cfb5fdcfa5a164cd0cef32b6f26da51bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240.75
- Realized PnL
- $223.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $52.53
- Potential payout
- $358.58
- Potential profit
- $306.05
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $41.22
- Potential payout
- $297.62
- Potential profit
- $256.4
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $289.85
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $48.61
- Potential payout
- $252.53
- Potential profit
- $203.92
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28.25
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.69
- Potential profit
- $49.69
- User PnL
- -$40
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $14.78
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $29.34
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $43.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.05
- Potential profit
- $37.05
- User PnL
- -$7.41
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.25
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.31
- Potential profit
- $8.31
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $31.86
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.18
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes 3% 83.33 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 44.12 shares
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 50% 50 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 219.94 shares
- Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 252.53 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 172.41 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 147.05 shares
- Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?Yes 15% 20 shares