Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $9.97K
- Potential payout
- $10.18K
- Potential profit
- $208.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $287.22
Polymarket Trader
0x9Fa8614Cf56a2B39B0586E5FFcc8598d7BAc593a-1784116280350
0x9fa8614cf56a2b39b0586e5ffcc8598d7bac593a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$58.56
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.02
No position
Kash Patel out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $45.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.58
N
No position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $701.49
- Potential payout
- $710.73
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.19
N
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $429.73
- Potential profit
- $429.73
- User PnL
- -$25
Y
Yes position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $244.43
- Potential payout
- $325.9
- Potential profit
- $81.47
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $138
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $162
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $35.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $130.83
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$77.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.4% 2,000 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 50.2% 472.52 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 63.9% 62.6 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 63.5% 56 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 64.9% 66 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 61.6% 47 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 68.1% 62.94 shares
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 69.8% 177.99 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?No 7.7% 129.76 shares
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard AND Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega AND LoL: G2 NORD vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season AND Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?0.8% 1,190 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes 72% 25.9 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes 50% 80 shares