No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.5K
- Potential profit
- $102.5K
- User PnL
- -$299.92
Polymarket Trader
0x9Fb7F4EF3C71a2C028cA4811946BEEd5cA46cf03-1772393577431
0x9fb7f4ef3c71a2c028ca4811946beed5ca46cf03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.12K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.98K
- Potential profit
- $18.98K
- User PnL
- -$209.97
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $10.33K
- User PnL
- -$129.98
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $100–$110 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$17.15
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $828.81
- Potential profit
- $828.81
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $767.17
- Potential profit
- $767.17
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $61.2
- Potential payout
- $737.37
- Potential profit
- $676.17
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.19
- Potential profit
- $601.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $478.61
- Potential profit
- $478.61
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.22
- Potential profit
- $424.22
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.1
- Potential profit
- $346.1
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 40,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 25,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 30,000 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 16.7% 298.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 2,500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 17% 294.12 shares