listings

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.06
Potential profit: $167.06
User PnL: -$14.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.34
Potential profit: $139.34
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $96.14
Potential profit: $96.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.97
Potential profit: $76.97
User PnL: -$28.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $46.56
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$4.89

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $17.83
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $19.48
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$10.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $9.82
Potential payout: $19.45
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 71.1%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $9.36
Potential payout: $15.86
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $4.36
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.33
Potential payout: $14.34
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $13.87
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.47
Potential payout: $13.78
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $13.45
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $9.23
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $11.96
User PnL: -$4.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.68
Potential profit: $11.68
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $11.46
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $0.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $10.56
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?