No position
Will Trump say "Greatest Military" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.43
- Potential profit
- $114.43
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Polymarket Trader
keynesian.multiplier
0x9fc3008979bad97e6ea01a7062bbf7f3edf212af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.62
- Potential profit
- $104.62
- User PnL
- -$20.2
No position
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18.28
No position
Will Starmer say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10.74
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33.53
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$73.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake news" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.89
- Potential profit
- $91.89
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.91
- Potential profit
- $84.91
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.95
- Potential profit
- $83.95
- User PnL
- -$20.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$50.62
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.76
- Potential profit
- $79.76
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.13
- Potential profit
- $66.13
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.6
- Potential profit
- $63.6
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.43
- Potential profit
- $60.43
- User PnL
- -$45.78
Yes position
Will Starmer say "BMA" or "British Medical Association" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.33
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.06
- Potential profit
- $58.06
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.99
- Potential profit
- $55.99
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Gay" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.39
- Potential profit
- $55.39
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $54.55
- User PnL
- -$31.55
No position
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.28
- Potential profit
- $53.28
- User PnL
- -$10.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $797.53
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $429.41
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $398.49
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $362.51
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $352.47
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $293.05
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $280.63
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $231.38
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.81
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.7
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.8
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.29
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.21
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.33
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.16
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.82
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.81
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 30?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.05
No position
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.72
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.36
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Shadow" during the next PMQ?No 18% 5 shares
- Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during the next PMQ?No 53% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 93% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 93% 10 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 71% 10 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?Yes 92% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 91% 10 shares