Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $49.54
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$115.88
Polymarket Trader
0x9fc3...1f1f
0x9fc36772491ded047002ae4db2f442b9bae31f1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $663.23
- Realized PnL
- $2.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $528.04
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$69.89
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $902.6
- Potential profit
- $902.6
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $560.01
- Potential profit
- $548.53
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$40.92
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $519.06
- Potential profit
- $516.21
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $447.12
- Potential profit
- $441.3
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$17.37
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $431.49
- Potential profit
- $426.96
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$10.59
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $238.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.4
- Potential profit
- $204.4
- User PnL
- -$18
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $160
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $12.18
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $149.11
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $13.57
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $129.29
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $78.99
- Potential profit
- $78.71
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $68.5
- Potential profit
- $65.38
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.58
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $43.27
- Potential profit
- $41.84
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $42.5
- Potential profit
- $38.68
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $35.97
- Potential profit
- $32.23
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.34
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $26.39
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $26.62
- Potential profit
- $25.19
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.4
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.82
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.26
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.82
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.39
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 1.3% 1,615.38 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 1.3% 1,634.69 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 3.2% 133.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 12% 730.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 111.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.8% 2,080.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 136.92 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 6% 302.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 18% 105.56 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 19.2% 111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 18% 488.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 636.92 shares