Polymarket Trader

Maikel.Nait

0x9fcd05af7ac830441bbad1569de8ece4338168ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $620.76
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $103.17
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$246.96

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$50.03

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $31.73
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$18.27

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $88.62
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$51.38

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $102.27
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$47.73

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $51.47
Potential payout: $935.9
Potential profit: $884.43
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$42.12

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $925.93
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560.36
Potential profit: $560.36
User PnL: -$10.01

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.3%
Current value: $243.5
Potential payout: $378.98
Potential profit: $135.49
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$13.45

Yes position

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.81
Potential profit: $12.81
User PnL: -$6.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.47

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.83

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.77

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $63.67

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.72

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $35.6

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.28

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

No position

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $5

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 67.8% 378.98 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Under 2% 8.02 shares
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Yes 66% 37.88 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Under 48% 20.83 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 4% 225.51 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 12% 2,115.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 5% 286.99 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 833.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 25% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 32% 312.5 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 1,923.08 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Yes 2.2% 890.93 shares