Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $102.38
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $122.63
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$23.53
Polymarket Trader
linmor2024
0x9fd267ac40ba649cbd428a04833e18838a00d24e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $472.61
- Realized PnL
- $471.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Current value
- $100.16
- Potential payout
- $168
- Potential profit
- $67.84
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $24.58
- Potential payout
- $109.5
- Potential profit
- $84.92
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$25.63
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Current value
- $56.11
- Potential payout
- $107.65
- Potential profit
- $51.54
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $40.86
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $65.14
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $34.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $45.2
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.26
- Potential profit
- $70.26
- User PnL
- -$37.47
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$52.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.45
- Potential profit
- $67.45
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $59.17
- Potential profit
- $49.73
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $45.42
- Potential profit
- $37.47
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $18.38
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.26
- Potential profit
- $18.26
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $10.55
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.29
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$2.33
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.6
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.98
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.06
No position
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.41
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
No position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.65
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before October?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 52.3% 100 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 59.8% 168 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No 92% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No 83% 150 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.7% 150 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 99.8% 130.3 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 52% 7.65 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 24.19 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 69% 15 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 49% 80 shares