Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $14.86K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $25.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$8.74K
Polymarket Trader
escapingthemaze
0x9fdf4849c084484b5f1db7479c21db7a306d8029
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.82K
- Realized PnL
- $10.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$9.7K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$840
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $82.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.73
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 92% 9,999.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No 93.5% 14,346.06 shares
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?No 97% 30.29 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes 93% 5,272 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes 99% 13,314.47 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes 91% 568.59 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes 97.1% 4,524.25 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes 98.8% 706.63 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes 83.5% 514.14 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes 77.9% 5,000 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 59% 33,373.18 shares
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?No 93% 100 shares