ChiliSalt

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$406.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$124.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.14
Potential profit: $952.14
User PnL: -$1.9

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$494

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $488.69
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $111.3
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $36.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.99
Potential profit: $459.99
User PnL: -$35.8

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $442.51
Potential profit: $438.31
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.08

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $295.23
Potential payout: $401.67
Potential profit: $106.44
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $125.91

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $347
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$13.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.62
Potential profit: $380.62
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.85

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$144.37

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 65.8%
Current value: $157.92
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $82.08
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $12.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165.01
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $13.67

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $133
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $119
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$63

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$109

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $171.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $422.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $383

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $326.72

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.49

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.99

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $38

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $34

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.21

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?