0x9Feb546E3a6aca48Ca763acd54b1e4efD5b6D19e-1776744473817

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $154.67
Potential profit: $153.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $146.58
Potential profit: $145.27
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.64
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $27.97
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Bernie say "Amazon" during Fighting Oligarchy?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.56
Potential profit: $15.56
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $9.11
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.79
Potential profit: $7.79
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.78
Potential profit: $6.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $5.81
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Blockade" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Over 5.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET