Polymarket Trader

pexlibanhs

0x9ff146f326efcb1708882875882fc9e2f51c98d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.37K
Realized PnL: $3.23K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $21K
User PnL: -$499.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$995.4

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $612.12
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$70.73

No position

Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$649.42

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $106.25
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$93.65

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.76
Potential profit: $918.76
User PnL: -$349.82

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $83.83
Potential payout: $882.47
Potential profit: $798.63
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$66.09

Yes position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.37
Potential profit: $833.37
User PnL: -$289.38

Yes position

Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $779.34
Potential profit: $779.34
User PnL: -$244.34

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.83
Potential profit: $669.83
User PnL: -$38.85

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $566.64
Potential payout: $640.28
Potential profit: $73.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $61.91

Yes position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

Greece position

Euro Basket: Greece vs Israel

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.59

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.46

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe Beko Istanbul win the 2025 EuroLeague?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.14

Yes position

Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.62

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.38

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.62

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.45

No position

Will Olympiacos Piraeus win the 2025 EuroLeague?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.88

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.34

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.77

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$32.81

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.4

Yes position

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$129.95

Yes position

Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$149.95

Yes position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$520

No position

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$923.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 19.1% 1,283.44 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 16.4% 2,665.7 shares
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31.4% 779.34 shares
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78.8% 640.28 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 29% 507.69 shares
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

No 21% 927.67 shares
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

No 66.1% 688.06 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 71.6% 458.99 shares
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 26% 576.92 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 27.2% 1,101.73 shares
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 5.8% 669.83 shares
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Yes 34.7% 833.37 shares