Polymarket Trader

orifcontex

0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.05
Realized PnL: $5.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.82K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$13.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $858.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.95

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $492.05

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $422.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.69

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.59

Yes position

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.4

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 360 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 240 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 120 shares