Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $114.15K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $185.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.85K
Polymarket Trader
yungstalin
0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $685.88K
- Realized PnL
- $1.03M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $23.8K
- Potential payout
- $280K
- Potential profit
- $256.2K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$18.64K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.72K
- Potential profit
- $260.72K
- User PnL
- -$11.39K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.12K
- Potential profit
- $210.12K
- User PnL
- -$46.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.24K
- Potential profit
- $138.24K
- User PnL
- -$4.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.8%
- Current value
- $53.42K
- Potential payout
- $107.27K
- Potential profit
- $53.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- $17.89K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $87.79
- Potential payout
- $87.79K
- Potential profit
- $87.7K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.63K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.27K
- Potential profit
- $80.27K
- User PnL
- -$10.29K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.71K
- Potential profit
- $66.71K
- User PnL
- -$6.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.32K
- Potential profit
- $66.32K
- User PnL
- -$6.99K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.68K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.71K
- Potential profit
- $51.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.56K
- Potential profit
- $48.56K
- User PnL
- -$45.47K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.84K
- Potential profit
- $45.84K
- User PnL
- -$14.3K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.53K
- Potential profit
- $44.53K
- User PnL
- -$9.5K
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.3K
- Potential profit
- $44.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $527.98
- Potential payout
- $42.24K
- Potential profit
- $41.71K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.68K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.87K
- Potential profit
- $40.87K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $31.85K
- Potential payout
- $38.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.6K
- Potential profit
- $34.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $33.43K
- Potential payout
- $33.75K
- Potential profit
- $320.59
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.1K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.56K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.06K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.64K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.81K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.59K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.64K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $25.56K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.11K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.26K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.28K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.43K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.61K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $12.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 7.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 230,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.4% 5,061 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 46.6% 28,325.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80% 13,196.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.6% 1,178.64 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 80% 9,434.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 3,065.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 2,094.39 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 17% 3,426.18 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 81.1% 7,210.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 70.4% 1,612.23 shares