Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.48
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Polymarket Trader
0xa027...992d
0xa027ffbc7d203ee7d421daa6ead7b0e78628992d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $50.63
- Realized PnL
- -$1.02
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $11.94
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 86% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.4% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.8% 19 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 86% 10 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 75% 9 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 15% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.4% 6 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 81% 9 shares