No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $137.07
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Polymarket Trader
ava6717
0xa038c4d2c3da89f97f16fdcc1c7a914c910b1841
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.46
- Realized PnL
- $118.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $79
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$2.39
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$22.44
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.91
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Solana reach $120 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No 4.1% 31 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 8.2% 34 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 93.6% 87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?Yes 2.4% 38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?Yes 2.2% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?Yes 4.7% 54 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes 8.1% 7 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.5% 24 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 15?No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 15?No 97.9% 21.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?Yes 5.7% 22 shares