Polymarket Trader

Christiaa

@f7en6fiD45uJZph

0xa0413b9c41924fcedc3ac19a9e96f0b7acd6412d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $226.91
Realized PnL: $123.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $198.66
Potential payout: $235.11
Potential profit: $36.44
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$22.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$4

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $28.25
Potential payout: $29.03
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.53
Potential profit: $25.53
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

Yes position

Japan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Bitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 94% 235.11 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

No 93% 29.03 shares
Japan leading at halftime?

Yes 16% 37.5 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.7% 250 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 11.8% 33.9 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 250 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

No 94% 25.53 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Yes 93% 129.03 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Yes 36.6% 51.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 93% 86.02 shares
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 94.3% 16.39 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 91% 112.33 shares