Polymarket Trader

SoftMango

0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: -$199.71
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$14.73

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $860.44
Potential profit: $860.44
User PnL: -$29.12

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $825.44
Potential profit: $825.44
User PnL: -$359.26

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755.36
Potential profit: $755.36
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564
Potential profit: $564
User PnL: -$14.26

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.02
Potential profit: $454.02
User PnL: -$28.6

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$51

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$68.84

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$25.76

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.54
Potential profit: $64.54
User PnL: -$14.44

No position

Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.3
Potential profit: $58.3
User PnL: -$21.07

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.08
Potential profit: $56.08
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $11.16
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.23

No position

Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Blackhawks

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Blackhawks position

Canucks vs. Blackhawks

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$125.58

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$204

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$251.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 94% 1,600 shares
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?

Yes 6.3% 436.34 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 825.85 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 75% 100 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 290.36 shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 667 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 278.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 84% 833.33 shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 88.36 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Yes 16% 25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Yes 16.4% 1,221.88 shares
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 93.7% 10 shares