No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $143.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $158.47
Polymarket Trader
0xa04885495b37318f699ea7f51e60E63E194d731e-1771692186243
0xa04885495b37318f699ea7f51e60e63e194d731e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.54K
- Realized PnL
- -$8.65
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.12
- Potential profit
- $748.12
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.97
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.34
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.38
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 30.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 166.14 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 67.5% 74.07 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 161.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No 99.8% 44.77 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 99.9% 127.88 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 78.35 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 3.1% 63.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No 70% 71.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No 60.7% 35.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 63.7% 31.38 shares