0xa0488F25F91ad4e09FFb315dA9D664D922220250-1774464122121

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $50.93
Potential profit: $45.07
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.4
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.3
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.89
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $43.48
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $49.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.77
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $41.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.71
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $46.85
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.24
Potential payout: $49.95
Potential profit: $42.71
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $49.93
Potential profit: $47.11
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $49.93
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $49.89
Potential profit: $48.64
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $49.85
Potential profit: $49.35
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $49.84
Potential profit: $48.61
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $49.82
Potential profit: $48.53
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $49.32
Potential profit: $48.36
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.96

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 19?