Polymarket Trader

takinn

0xa04d2671077a6c01c1a13e76caacfcd8b534eecf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.74K
Realized PnL: $17.64K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $23K
User PnL: -$21.81K

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9K
Potential profit: $12.9K
User PnL: -$10.35K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$9.21K

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $9.77K
User PnL: -$8.81K

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.38K

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $975
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.03K

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.22K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$2.41K

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $767.52
Potential payout: $947.56
Potential profit: $180.04
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$28.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $947.72

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.39

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.49

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.87

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.28

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.03

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.27

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.21

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.13

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $100

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.94

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.66K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 99.8% 44,999.87 shares
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 73.9% 95.8 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

No 82% 1,900 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 75% 3,122.53 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

No 81% 273.24 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

No 98.8% 5 shares
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

No 92% 364 shares
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

No 98.9% 9.45 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 96.2% 1,182.22 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

No 97% 20 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 94% 5,000 shares
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

No 97.3% 545 shares