Polymarket Trader

Tradejarod

0xa04ef304ef09a770b0c61fd14d17147d3ca55a24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $256.1
Realized PnL: $327.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.33K
Potential profit: $58.33K
User PnL: -$149.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.85K
Potential profit: $45.85K
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.91K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$72.49

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.09K
User PnL: -$99.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $3.94K
User PnL: -$424.99

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $15.31
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $609.69
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $5.31

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $566.04
Potential profit: $549.91
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $117.06
Potential payout: $133.78
Potential profit: $16.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $35.68
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.07
Potential profit: $26.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.88

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.15

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 96.2% 10.4 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 96.4% 518.9 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 625 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 15,000 shares
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 25,000 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 91.7% 327.15 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 9,090.91 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 33,333.33 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares