Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $39.56
- Potential payout
- $42.37
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.56
Polymarket Trader
fl9dqwubtwzf
0xa057b57632baf8d876d11f415f5e8c96c7caf288
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $273.84
- Realized PnL
- $543.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $33.04
- Potential payout
- $36.51
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $27.73
- Potential payout
- $28.75
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $28.69
- Potential profit
- $28.59
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$17.53
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $23.38
- Potential profit
- $18.47
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $18.42
- Potential payout
- $19.08
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $19.03
- Potential profit
- $18.97
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.64
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $16.74
- Potential payout
- $16.8
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $9.39
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.46
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $10.7
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Milwaukee Brewers position
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $9.66
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $9.51
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.71
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $8.48
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.94
- Potential payout
- $7.66
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $6.91
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $6.74
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.57
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06
FK Bodø/Glimt position
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.39
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.28
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.76
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Senators
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Kings
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers 59% 9.66 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes 56% 9.61 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 3.55 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 0.02 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes 57% 9.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?Yes 59% 42.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 2.9 shares
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers 69% 4.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?No 8.9% 19.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 2.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 77% 6.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 32% 16.24 shares