x4gik4nusk3k

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $13.48
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $4.9
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $4.72
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.84

No position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $4.58
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $3.56
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $3.48
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $3.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 17, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.93

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET