Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$12.9
Polymarket Trader
xmk
0xa05fd8cb553036c681bcb0f9647be5f2ea398a29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.4
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Bitcoin new all time high before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Trudeau resigns by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Solana above $225 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bitcoin hits $80k before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?Down 49.6% 250.13 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.8% 132.57 shares
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?No 99.8% 135.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 99.4% 135.3 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No 99.5% 203.62 shares
- Trudeau resigns by Friday?No 99.2% 30 shares
- Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?No 99.1% 5.87 shares
- Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No 99.4% 8 shares
- Solana above $225 on December 20?No 99.4% 5 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No 99.5% 15 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No 99.2% 10 shares