Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $265.12
- Potential payout
- $883.73
- Potential profit
- $618.61
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $17.67
Polymarket Trader
GroovyCr0c0dil3
0xa066af596a282d3d10cc20f9fd76a9fb833d710b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $543.07
- Realized PnL
- $652.22
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $89.29
- Potential payout
- $558.08
- Potential profit
- $468.79
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$22.13
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $341.47
- Potential profit
- $341.13
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $214.87
- Potential profit
- $212.94
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $117.64
- Potential payout
- $134.91
- Potential profit
- $17.27
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Y
Yes position
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $81.1
- Potential profit
- $80.09
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $62.21
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.03
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $22.11
- Potential profit
- $19.52
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Y
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $13.01
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $2.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.02
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.59x
- User PnL
- $64.62
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $21.23
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $17.19
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Y
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.81x
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Y
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
N
No position
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.52
N
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Y
Yes position
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?No 83.1% 64 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 87% 50 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 86.9% 84.91 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 43% 259.74 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 44.2% 724.94 shares
- Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 15 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 17% 52.5 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 6.6% 7.62 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 6.4% 205.7 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 91% 0.11 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 25% 11.34 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 21% 121.4 shares