No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $226.21
- Potential payout
- $373.91
- Potential profit
- $147.69
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $46.22
Polymarket Trader
xddsa
0xa06d38fafdb5776b6ce9d4dbca45df9c4a855af9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $326.52
- Realized PnL
- $3.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $94.14
- Potential payout
- $168.11
- Potential profit
- $73.97
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $14.14
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $104.94
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.1
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.21
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.46
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.69
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $68.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.15
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.89
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.64
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 16.9% 41.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57.6% 52.07 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 46.3% 64.79 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 3.3% 592.53 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 49.8% 80.28 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 9% 111.11 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 48.4% 103.32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 94.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 227.5 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 6% 166.83 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 46.8% 10.68 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 49.8% 30.12 shares