No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $136.67
- Potential profit
- $133.2
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$29.35
Polymarket Trader
raffers
0xa072b6cabb6ba5a3b02cbbb8bcc5833042504358
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.15
- Realized PnL
- -$97.6
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $17.93
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $16.77
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $11.28
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 10% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 31% 32.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 33% 30.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 98% 0.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 80% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 55% 9.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 60% 18.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp 54% 18.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown 47% 25.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown 39% 25.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 97% 10.31 shares